The North Korea Forecast for 2021: A Former National Intelligence Officer’s View

February 2, 2021  |  12:15PM - 1:15PM

On Tuesday, February 2, 2021, The University of Texas at Austin’s Intelligence Studies Project, Clements Center for National Security, and Strauss Center for International Security and Law hosted Markus Garlauskas, Nonresident Senior Fellow with the Asia Security Initiative at the Atlantic Council and Former National Intelligence Officer for North Korea, for a virtual talk on “The North Korea Forecast for 2021: A Former National Intelligence Officer’s View.” Sheena Greitens, Associate Professor of Public Affairs at the LBJ School of Public Affairs moderated the talk.


Markus V. Garlauskas led the U.S. intelligence community’s strategic analysis on North Korea as the National Intelligence Officer (NIO) for North Korea from July 2014 to June 2020. Before his appointment as NIO, he served in Seoul at the U.S. Forces Korea headquarters for nearly 12 years in a variety of key positions, including as the Chief of Intelligence Estimates and the Director of Strategy. Following the conclusion of his government appointment as a member of the Senior National Intelligence Service, he joined the Scowcroft Center for Strategy and Security of the Atlantic Council as a nonresident senior fellow affiliated with its Asia Security Initiative. He earned a master’s degree from Georgetown University’s Security Studies Program and now teaches a new course in Strategic Analysis of North Korea for this program.